Ericsson Mobility Report: 4G To Reach 4.1 Bn By 2021; 5G To Reach 150 Mn

Ericsson-Mobility-Report:-4G-To-Reach-4.1-Bn-By-2021;-5G-To-Reach-150-Mn5G subscriptions is forecast to reach 4.1 billion by 2021 whereas 5G is planned to reach 150 million according to the latest edition of Ericsson Mobility Report.

The 4G market is planned to grow at a CAGR of 25 percent from 2015-2021 whereas mobile subscriptions is planned to reach 9.1 billion with a CAGR of 5 percent.

4G subscriptions continue to grow strongly and the total figure has reached around 850 million subscriptions, with approximately 120 million additions in Q3 2015.

Asia Pacific is a diverse region and the regional share of LTE subscriptions will be around 50 percent in 2021. This is despite an already ongoing massive deployment of LTE in China which will result in 1.2 billion LTE subscriptions in the country by the end of 2021 – around one quarter of the global total.

Also, countries like South Korea and Japan were among the first countries to adopt LTE, and penetration has reached 80 percent and 60 percent, respectively. These two countries currently account for 14 percent of global LTE subscriptions.

In 2021, South Korea, Japan, China and the US are expected to have the fastest uptake of 5G subscriptions. 5G will connect new types of devices, enabling new use cases related to the Internet of Things (IoT). 5G transition will also open up new industries and verticals for ICT transformation.

The report, a comprehensive update on mobile trends, reveals a significant increase in mobile video consumption, which is driving around six times higher traffic volumes per smartphone in North America and Europe (2015 to 2021). North America data traffic per active smartphone will grow from 3.8 to 22 GB per month by 2021; in Western Europe, the increase is from 2 to 18 GB per month.

Ericsson Mobility Report Highlights
Video To Dominate – Global mobile data traffic is forecast to grow ten-fold by 2021 and video is forecast to account for 70 percent of total mobile traffic in the same year. In many networks today, YouTube accounts for up to 70 percent of all video traffic, while Netflix’s share of video traffic can reach as high as 20 percent in markets where it is available.

Mainland China Overtakes US: By the end of 2015, Mainland China will have 350 million LTE subscriptions – nearly 35 percent of the world’s total LTE subscriptions. The market is predicted to have 1.2 billion LTE subscriptions

Africa To Reach One Billion: In 2010 there were 500 million mobile subscriptions across Africa but by the end of 2015 this number will double to one billion. Increased connectivity improves the prospect of financial inclusion for the 70 percent unbanked through mobile money services starting to take form across Africa.

ICT Enables Energy Savings – ICT will enable savings in energy consumption and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions across all other industrial sectors. The total emission reduction could be up to 10 giga tonnes of CO2e, representing about 15 percent of global GHG emissions in 2030 – more than the current carbon footprint of the US and EU combined.

With 20 new mobile broadband subscriptions activated every second, global increase in mobile subscriptions is another clear driver for data traffic growth. As of now, there are the same amount of mobile subscriptions as there are people on the planet; in 2016 we will reach the four billion mark for smartphone subscriptions alone.

Rima Qureshi, senior vice president & chief strategy officer, Ericsson said, “5G is about more than faster mobile services – it will enable new use cases related to the Internet of Things. For example, Ericsson has built a prototype testbed for applying 5G networking functions and data analytics to public transport, which can save resources, reduce congestion, and lower environmental impact. ICT transformation will become even more common across industries as 5G moves from vision to reality in the coming years.”

The Ericsson Mobility Report is one of the leading analyses of data traffic available, providing in-depth measurements from live networks spread around the globe. The report uses these measurements and analysis, together with internal forecasts and other relevant studies, to provide insights into current traffic and market trends in the Networked Society.

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